Prognostic impact of molecular muscle-invasive bladder cancer subtyping approaches and correlations with variant histology in a population-based mono-institutional cystectomy cohort

Purpose: Recently discovered molecular classifications for urothelial bladder cancer appeared to be promising prognostic and predictive biomarkers. The present study was conducted to evaluate the prognostic impact of molecular subtypes assessed by two different methodologies (gene and protein expression), to compare these two approaches and to correlate molecular with histological subtypes in a consecutively collected, mono-institutional muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) cohort.

Methods: 193 MIBC were pathologically re-evaluated and molecular subtypes were assessed on mRNA (NanoString technology, modified 21-gene-containing MDACC approach) and protein levels (immuno-histochemical [IHC] analysis of CK5, CK14, CD44, CK20, GATA3 and FOXA1). Descriptive statistical methods and uni-/multi-variable survival models were employed to analyze derived data.

Results: Neither gene expression nor protein-based subtyping showed significant associations with disease-specific (DSS) or recurrence-free survival (RFS). Agreement between mRNA (reference) and protein-based subtyping amounted 68.6% for basal, 76.1% for luminal and 50.0% for double-negative tumors. Histological subtypes associated with RFS in uni-variable (P = 0.03), but not in multivariable survival analyses. Tumors with variant histology predominantly showed luminal subtypes (gene expression subtyping: 36/55 cases, 65.5%; protein subtyping: 44/55 cases, 80.0%). Squamous differentiation significantly associated with basal subtypes (gene expression subtyping: 44/45 squamous cases, 97.8%; protein subtyping: 36/45 cases, 80.0%).

Conclusion: In our consecutive cystectomy cohort, neither gene, protein expression-based subtyping, nor histological subtypes associated with DSS or RFS in multi-variably adjusted survival analyses. Application of a limited IHC subtyping marker panel showed high concordance of 83.9% with gene expression-based subtyping, thus underlining the utility for subtyping in pathological routine diagnostics. In addition, histological MIBC subtypes are strong indicators for intrinsic subtypes.